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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Tony Lake

Team: Bromborough RecsDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

712

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

21

Matches Played

14

Wins

7

Losses

67%

Win Rate

5.4

Avg Win Margin

7.1

Avg Loss Margin

8-2

Home Record

6-5

Away Record

29%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
21 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/21/2026

Only 21 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins14/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 21 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

15 May29 May15 Jun3 Jul24 Jul7 Aug21 Aug-13713

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
67%
score+0.33→contribution+0.13
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
5.4
score-0.43→contribution-0.11
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.1
score+0.14→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
65%
score+0.30→contribution+0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
654
score-0.05→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score+0.072
Sample Size Confidence
29%(21/39 matches)
Rating1036 → shrunk 1010→ adjusted 710
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)718
Recency Blend28% (21 recent matches)
Final Rating712
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

14W7L21 matches·66.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bromborough Recs2026League 32114766.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2026David JonesH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2026Martin HickmanA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
8/14/2026Dave HillH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
8/7/2026Michael HewittA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2026Philip JacksonH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2026Pat McloughlinA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2026Hazel MorganA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2026David HollywoodA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/10/2026David HollywoodH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/3/2026Harry LucasA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
6/22/2026Gail LewisH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/19/2026Paul FouldsA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2026Ray HartleyH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2026Ailsa CurryH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
6/5/2026Tom FrancomA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
5/29/2026Hazel MorganA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2026Mark StrongmanH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2026Lyn NevinH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
5/15/2026Brian MoranA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/8/2026Brian ChellamA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
5/1/2026Kevin JonesH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
Cartwright Cup1 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundKeith BaileyPensby C21-7WINWON
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl1 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJack KileyHeswall RBL4-21LOSSLOST
Stott Cup4 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundPeter HughesUpton Victory Hall6-21LOSSLOST
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundGraham CairnsOxton Conservative Club11-21LOSSWON
Quarters RoundLorraine WatkinsNew Brighton Quarry Vikings C7-21LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundSteve CliffeOxton Conservative Club6-21LOSSLOST
Frank Hurst Trophy1 games · 0W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundGerry RileyWest Kirby Victoria7-21LOSSLOST
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup1 games · 0W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundNeil SherbrookeWest Kirby Victoria17-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWLW
Last 1080% win rate— steady
WWWLWWWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Hazel Morgan11250%7/24/2026
David Hollywood11250%7/17/2026
David Jones101100%8/21/2026
Martin Hickman101100%8/17/2026
Dave Hill101100%8/14/2026
Michael Hewitt0110%8/7/2026
Philip Jackson101100%7/31/2026
Pat Mcloughlin101100%7/27/2026
Harry Lucas101100%7/3/2026
Gail Lewis0110%6/22/2026
Biggest Win
Lyn Nevin (+12)5/18/2026
Heaviest Defeat
David Hollywood (-15)7/17/2026
Best Season
202667% · 21 matches
Worst Season
202667% · 21 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
60% → 73%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
65421 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
14-767% win rate
League 366.7%
14W·7L·21 played

Debut

May 1, 2026

Latest

Aug 21, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (4 mo span)

Matches / Season

21.0 (21 total)

Seasons

2026